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How to Use Options to Invest Like Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett is undoubtedly one the most famous and successful investors of all time, yet his strategy is very simple and straightforward – invest in companies that have solid fundamentals, a stable and growing business, and pay dividends. A dividend is simply a portion of the company’s earnings (or in some cases, reserves) that they choose to pay to investors instead of reinvesting in the company. While it’s not guaranteed to always be a set amount or paid in perpetuity, a dividend generates returns for investors even when the price of the company’s stock fails to appreciate. This creates a built-in buffer against volatility and allows the investor to either purchase more shares of the company with this recurring income or simply pocket the payments for use elsewhere. The amount of cash generated via dividends by Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is staggering and continues to increase. In 2022 alone, the company received over $6B in dividend payments from its equity holdings.

Recent market trends have many investors reaching for yield, and allocations to dividend-generating investments have exploded in the past year. Two of the more popular vehicles for income-based ETF investing are the JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPI) and The Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF (DIVO) by Capital Wealth. Both instruments employ an active management strategy where the fund holds a portfolio of mature dividend-paying companies and then overlays a covered call strategy against the stock positions. The use of covered calls limits upside for each equity holding over a specified timeframe, but in return the fund receives a steady stream of payments via option premium. This income stream decreases volatility and potentially enhances returns on both an absolute and risk-adjusted basis.  These strategies may work well if you are comfortable with the respective ETF managers selecting the underlying securities – if you prefer to select your own exposure and have a specialty manager assist in a covered call overlay, a firm like Exceed can help in the portfolio construction and management via an SMA.

 

Increase in Assets Under Management Over the Last Year

 

                                        courtesy of YCharts

 

The top stock holdings in income-based ETFs generally include companies like VZ, PG, UNH, HSY, PEP, and V. These are considered value investments with businesses that are mature, have stocks that trade at or below average market volatility, and for the most part are growing revenue at modest rates.  As a result of these companies’ strong position in the market, management has chosen to return a portion of its profits to investors instead of reinvesting in company-specific ventures. Investing in a diversified portfolio of these types of companies is typically relatively safe and suitable for those with a lower risk tolerance, but potential future upside is expected to be limited when compared to smaller growth or technology companies. Income-based ETFs are often good choices for those close to retirement age, but they’re not for everyone.

Many active investors have an affinity for companies with big growth potential and stocks that trade above average market volatility levels.  The tradeoff to investing in growth stocks like TSLA, NVDA, and PLTR is that very few of them pay a dividend – a holder of one of these companies is forfeiting a stream of regular dividend payments for the prospect of excess future returns. While “value” stocks tend to have lower volatility and higher dividends, growth stocks have the opposite – low dividends and higher volatility. Option prices are a function of volatility, with higher volatility driving higher option prices and premiums. As a result, you can generate higher yield writing covered calls on growth names versus value investments. While a practitioner of this strategy may be giving up some upside at times, at other times they will be rewarded handsomely for doing so. Everything else being equal, holding a stock with above average volatility and tactically writing covered calls against it creates the potential for both significant price appreciation and yield generation.

Options offer strategic advantages in different market environments, and many professional investors use them to their advantage on a regular basis – even Warren Buffett, king of buy-and-hold value investing, uses them as part of his strategy.  Selling covered calls can significantly enhance total portfolio returns, but structuring and managing these strategies can be tedious and complex. The team at Exceed Advisory has over 40 years of collective professional options experience and can simplify the process for you and your clients. Contact us for a consultation as to how you can use options as an overlay to an existing model portfolio to create your own dividend stream.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURE: The information in this blog is intended to be educational and does not constitute investment advice. Exceed Advisory offers investment advice only after entering into an advisory agreement and only after obtaining detailed information about the client’s individual needs and objectives. Hedging does not prevent all losses or guarantee positive returns. Options trading involves risk and does not guarantee any specific return or provide a guarantee against loss. Clients must be approved for options trading at the custodian holding their assets. Transaction costs and advisory fees apply to all solutions implemented through Exceed and will reduce returns.

 

* JEPI and DIVO are not affiliated with or recommended by Exceed Advisory. We are using these two popular ETFs solely to illustrate how a general market strategy that may effectively serve retail investors at relatively low cost differs from Exceed’s approach. Exceed’s options overlay advice is tailored to the specific holdings of the client and will generally result in higher investment costs than a pooled mass-market solution, such as an ETF.

 

Tax Lessons Learned From Tesla

The past few years for Tesla (Ticker: TSLA) have been anything but mundane. Shares of the equity experienced a meteoric rise from mid-2019 to late 2022, with a trough-to-peak rally of over 3400% in a little over three years. However, after its parabolic ascent the shares declined by about 75% in a little over a year.

 

Opinions on the company are as polarizing as they come – some believe that it’s a cash-burning vortex destined for bankruptcy, while others are convinced Elon Musk can walk on water and TSLA is set to take over the world. Musk’s recent Twitter fiasco removed a lot of the sparkle from his image, and that shift in sentiment can be seen in Tesla’s recent performance.  There was always an embedded “Elon premium” in the shares, as believers shunned fundamentals because of the CEO’s rockstar image. Is it possible that there is now an “Elon discount?”

Early investors in the company experienced a financial windfall between mid-2019 and November 2021, but many were likely caught up in the hype, which would limit a potentially prudent taking of some profit. Aside from human emotions, the most likely reason that a buy-and-hold investor refused to reduce their TSLA position after its rapid rise was the associated tax liability with selling shares. Let’s look at a hypothetical situation involving an early investment in TSLA…

Assume a buy-and-hold investor with a $1M portfolio invested 10% of their capital in TSLA shares at an average price of $20 (split adjusted for today’s prices) at the end of 2018, and the remaining 90% of their capital was invested in a diversified market fund. For simplicity’s sake, in this example we’ll use the SPDR S&P 500 ETF trust (symbol SPY), an exchange traded fund (ETF) that aims to track performance of the S&P 500 index. So, on 1/2/2019 this hypothetical portfolio consisted of $100,000 in TSLA shares and $900,000 in SPY shares. The table below shows the performance of the Tesla and SPY positions, using end-of-year values. This illustration also assumes a 20% capital gains tax rate.

 

As you can see the Tesla position quickly grew into a substantial percentage of the total portfolio holdings. From the investor’s perspective, this is obviously a very good thing because it means that the TSLA position was appreciating rapidly. However, this rapid appreciation creates other problems associated with buy-and-hold investing.  Multiple studies have shown that holding a concentrated portfolio generally leads to underperformance. 1Nathan Sosner, “When Fortune Doesn’t Favor the Bold. Perils of Volatility for Wealth Growth and Preservation. ”The Journal of Wealth Management Winter 2022, jwm.2022.1.189; DOI: https://doi.org/10.3905/jwm.2022.1.189  2Bernt Arne Ødegard, “The diversification cost of large, concentrated equity stakes. How big is it? Is it justified?” Finance Research Letters Volume 6, Issue 2. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2009.01.003 3Baird’s Private Wealth Management Research, “The Hidden Cost of Holding a Concentrated Position. Why diversification can help to protect wealth.” https://www.bairdwealth.com/siteassets/pdfs/hidden-cost-holding-concentrated-position.pdf

In addition to the heavy concentration risk, the total portfolio volatility grew substantially. TSLA has a five-year monthly beta of 2.03, meaning that it’s more than twice as volatile as “The market.” As a result, total portfolio volatility grew by nearly 50 percent over the first three years. Elevated levels of volatility that lead to underperformance can be detrimental to risk-adjusted performance metrics like Sharpe and Sortino Ratios.

It’s easy to look back and wonder why an investor didn’t rebalance their portfolio after such a gigantic move higher by TSLA, but hindsight is always 20/20. At its peak at the end of 2021, the theoretical tax liability associated with the TSLA holding was approximately three times the initial investment amount, and nearly 30% of the initial portfolio value! Upon the liquidation of shares, this tax liability can be seen as an immediate loss of portfolio value.

Rapid ascents by companies like this aren’t anything new. History is littered with similar examples of companies that quickly rose to prominence, only to fall back to earth. A few that immediately come to mind are Yahoo, Dell Computer, Zoom, Meta, Netflix, Nokia, and Blockbuster Video. Generally speaking, companies that rise the most during bull markets may depreciate rapidly during market downturns. It’s imperative that investors harvest gains and periodically rebalance their portfolios in order to avoid substantial drawdowns.

The good news is that there are solutions to these common problems. Options are often (and rightly) viewed in a negative light among retail investors, as they can be very risky and lead to substantial losses. Options are complex and can be intimidating to even the most seasoned investor. What many people don’t realize, though, is that options can also be powerful tools for tax optimization and hedging within a portfolio. When correctly implemented, an option overlay strategy may completely eliminate tax liability on certain concentrated positions, while simultaneously hedging downside risk. There are of course transaction costs involved, as well as advisory fees in the case of an overlay strategy, but the ability to exit these positions tax neutrally while also reducing portfolio volatility can have a substantial positive effect on long-term capital appreciation.

If you or a client are dealing with how best to address the tax liability and downside risk concerns that often accompany concentrated positions, feel free to reach out to the team at Exceed Investments. Members of Exceed’s Portfolio Management Team have over 38 years of professional options experience and are well-versed in the tax code. These strategies can be tailored to fit specific investment goals and satisfy immediate needs. When executed properly, these option overlay strategies may reduce or eliminate tax liability, lower risk, and help you and your clients achieve their financial goals in an efficient manner.

 

Contact us for a consultation.

 

 

 

This blog post is for informational or educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.  Any discussion of investment strategy or approach is intended only to illustrate investment concepts and in no case does the discussion represent Exceed Advisory’s investment performance or the results of any Exceed Advisory portfolio.  We provide investment advice only to clients and only after entering into an advisory agreement and obtaining information concerning individual needs and objectives. We think the information provided is accurate, but accuracy is not guaranteed. All investing in securities involves risks, including the risk of loss.